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Crude Oil Forecast July 18, 2017, Technical Analysis

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jul 18, 2017, 06:36 UTC

WTI Crude Oil The WTI Crude Oil market has rolled over a bit during the day on Monday, testing the $46 level. If we can break down below the $46 level,

Crude Oil daily chart, July 18, 2017

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market has rolled over a bit during the day on Monday, testing the $46 level. If we can break down below the $46 level, it’s likely that we will continue to drop towards the $45 level. I believe that the market is trying to roll over, and if we break down below the level, I think that we will then go much farther. After all, we still have a significant number of headwinds when it comes to the crude oil markets, and I think it’s only a matter of time before that plays itself out in the markets. I believe that the $47 level above is massively resistive, but a break above there could send this market looking towards the $50 level above there, which is even more resistant.

Crude Oil Video 18.7.17

Brent

Brent markets rolled over during the session as well, as the $49 level has offered resistance. I think that if we can reach towards the $48 level, a move below there would be the beginning of the next move lower. Rallies are still to be sold, and I believe that the $50 level above is the absolute “ceiling” in the market. Ultimately, I think that the oversupply of crude oil continues, so it’s only a matter of time before the sellers get involved. Obviously, the US dollar has a certain amount of influence in this market, so we could see of react accordingly. However, I think that the oversupply is a longer-term issue that oil producing countries will continue to struggle with, and because of this I think that buying is something that is probably left to traders that are willing to trade countertrend. I am not one of them, so I’m just looking for exhaustion to get involved with.

Brent daily chart, July 18, 2017
Brent daily chart, July 18, 2017

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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