Advertisement
Advertisement

Crude Oil Price Analysis – WTI Bounces as Buyers Defend 200-Day EMA

By
Christopher Lewis
Published: Jul 28, 2026, 14:04 GMT+00:00

Crude oil is looking to bounce after initially falling on Tuesday. This is a market that will continue to pay close attention to the latest headlines coming out of the Middle East.

PREMIUM
Read what the experts are trading this weekExclusive analysis from FXEmpire top analysts — curated insights you won't find on the free site.
In-depth analysis
Curated reports
Top analysts
Unlock Premium

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

WTI eases to 81.46, testing its 50-day EMA. Source: TradingView

The light sweet crude oil market has fallen a bit during the early part of the trading session on Tuesday, but has turned around to show signs of life as traders are trying to defend the crucial 200-day EMA. Recently, we’ve seen some calming down of tension in the Middle East, but we’ve been here before, and it’ll be interesting to see whether or not that actually sticks this time.

The light sweet crude oil market had initially shot straight up in the air. We are basically at about the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, so it does make a certain amount of sense that there would be some technical interest in this region. This is an area that should attract a lot of attention from technical traders in general.

Brent Technical Analysis

Brent retreats to 86.96, back at its 50-day EMA. Source: TradingView

The Brent market fell to test the $85 level, just above the 200-day EMA, and at this point, the market is likely to continue to pay attention to this area because of all the technical indicators in one spot, being the 50-day EMA and the 200-day EMA, as well as a previous gap, previous consolidation, and a large round, psychologically significant figure. This is an area of confluence that I will pay attention to.

Unfortunately, the oil markets are going to be moving on the latest whims of a few random people in the United States and Iran and what they have to say to the media or in public. If missiles start flying, that obviously will disrupt market supply, or at least the thought of it. But for what it’s worth, despite the fact that missiles have stopped flying, the Strait of Hormuz is still essentially closed.

If you’d like to know more about how to trade natural gas, please visit our educational area.

About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

Advertisement