Crude oil markets bounced a bit during the trading session on Wednesday, as traders came back from Christmas. We are in a massive bear market, so although we have shown signs of life, the reality is that there is a lot of negativity in this market.
The WTI Crude Oil market rallied a bit during the trading session on Wednesday, showing signs of life again. However, there is a lot of noise above and I think it’s only a matter of time before the sellers come back. I believe that the $50 level above should offer resistance as it was support, and of course the 50 day EMA is turned firmly down. I think a rally is probably a bit overdue, so the next couple of days could be positive, but quite frankly it’s not until we clear $55 that significant bullish technicals come back into play. In the short term, I think you can fade rallies that show signs of exhaustion.
Brent markets tested the $50 level, showing signs of life during the day as well. However, I believe that just as in the WTI Crude Oil market, there is massive resistance above, in this situation it can be found at the $60 handle. We would need to clear that area rather significantly for me to feel comfortable going long, and the meantime I think that the rallies will end up being selling opportunities at the first signs of exhaustion. If we were to break down below the $50 level that would obviously be a very significant turn of events and could send this market much lower. Ultimately, I think that you will get an opportunity to sell this market at higher levels.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.