Crude oil markets rallied a bit on Thursday again, due to the hopes of stimulus, and the idea that the market is going to demand more crude oil as a result.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has rallied rather significantly during the trading session again, based upon the idea of stimulus driving up demand for energy in the United States, which of course is probably a bit of a stretch. That being said, we are at the top of the range, so it is likely that we will probably eventually see sellers come back into the marketplace. The 200 day EMA sits just above, and it is likely that the market will pay attention to it. Because of this, the $41 level will be paid close attention to. Even if we do rally from here, the upside is probably somewhat limited.
Brent markets also rallied a bit during the trading session on Thursday, as we have broken above the 50 day EMA. Above here, we have a lot of potential resistance all the way to at least the $45 level, so I will be looking for signs of exhaustion that I can sell. Quite frankly, any short-term shock due to stimulus being past will more than likely be sold into given enough time as it creates a liquidity event that people can dump contracts in. If we were to break above the $46 level, then it is likely that we go towards the $50 level. All things being equal, this is a market that I think continues to see a lot of volatility, but we are much closer to the short-term range top then we are the bottom, and that of course is something worth being aware of.
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Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.