Oil markets have been volatile during the day again on Tuesday, but generally positive. This of course will have influence from demand, geopolitical concerns, and of course the value of the US dollar. The volatility in the Forex market should not be underestimated.
The WTI Crude Oil market initially dipped during the trading session on Tuesday but found enough support near the $63.75 level to rally again. The market is choppy, but I think it is attracted to the $65 level above, which has been resistance in the past. It’s a large, round, psychologically significant number, and it’s likely that the typical attraction to the round number will influence the market as oil markets are extraordinarily technical. If we can break above the $65 level, the market is free to go much higher. In the meantime, I suspect that short-term pullbacks are buying opportunities for those who are nimble enough to take advantage of them. A breakdown below the $63 level would be negative though.
Brent markets initially pulled back during the trading session on Tuesday, testing the $69 level for support. We found enough there to send the market higher, reaching towards the $70 level. $70 has a gap just above it that could cause a significant amount of resistance as well, so I think that the market will struggle and that short-term pullbacks will continue to be seen. Those pullbacks should be buying opportunities though, and once we break above the $70.25 level, the market could go much higher. At that point I would anticipate that the market will probably go looking towards the $72.50 level, and then possibly the $75 level after that. Ultimately, expect a lot of volatility but I think the upward pressure remains.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.