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Crude Oil Price Forecast March 22, 2018, Technical Analysis

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Mar 22, 2018, 04:59 GMT+00:00

The crude oil markets were explosive during the trading session on Wednesday, reaching fresh, new highs over the last couple of weeks, but we still have a lot of moving parts out there that could change trajectory. At this point, it does look a little overbought though.

Crude Oil daily chart, March 22, 2018

WTI Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market exploded to the upside, breaking above the $65 level as the Americans bought more crude oil. At this point though, I think that we are bit overbought, and I also recognize that there are is a strong chance of this market turnaround based upon exhaustion. I think that short-term traders will continue to pick up this market every time it dips over the next couple of days, but if we were to turn around and break below the $63.50 level, we will more than likely drop to the $62 level.

Crude Oil Price Forecast Video 22.03.18

Brent

Brent markets also rallied, breaking above the $69 level. I think there is a significant amount of resistance near the $70 level above, an area where I would anticipate seeing a lot of psychological resistance, and especially so now as we are overextended. The market continues to be very noisy, especially considering that we have a lot of moving pieces. The Federal Reserve coming out with a monetary policy statement during late trading on Wednesday of course will have an influence on the US dollar, and by extension will have an influence on the oil markets. That will be temporary though, unless of course the US dollar explodes in value, which could put significant downward pressure. I suspect in the short term, we may see a bit of a pullback, but I think there is enough interest underneath 2 continue the short-term uptrend. $70 will be crucial.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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