Crude oil markets fell again on Friday, as we continue to see negative pressure in this market, as the US dollar has strengthened, and beyond that we now have concerns about a trade war coming out of the United States, as Donald Trump has levied tariffs on both steel and aluminum. People are concerned that these trade war actions could extend into the energy markets.
The WTI Crude Oil market continues to fall during the Friday session, as traders look at the potential of a trade war coming out of the United States as negative for the oil market. Rallies at this point should be selling opportunities, perhaps reaching towards the $60 level next, and then a breakdown below there should send this market much lower, perhaps reaching towards the $55 level. Ultimately, I think that there will continue to be a lot of noise, but there is most certainly a negative proclivity to this market.
Brent markets also fell, reaching towards the $63 level. I think that the market probably goes to the $60 next, and then eventually the $55 level after that. I believe that any time we rally, the sellers will come back into this market as there should be a “ceiling” in the market, near the $65 handle. I think that it’s only a matter of time before people start shorting this market again. Ultimately, I think that we have seen the highs in petroleum markets for the year, and that we will continue to find reasons to sell off. Obviously, we will have the occasional rally, but my bias is certainly to the downside at this point, as we have peaked for the year from what I can tell. There is a previous uptrend line that we have broken down below, and at this point it looks as if the trend has changed.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.