Crude oil markets got broken down through support during the week. With coronavirus lockdowns coming in various countries, that is going to drive down demand.
The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market broke down rather significantly during the course of the week, slicing through the $36.25 level II reach towards the $35 handle. Ultimately, I do think that we break down below there, and then go looking towards the $32.50 level, followed by the $30 level. We are finally seeing a bit of demand destruction here, and therefore it makes quite a bit of sense that we will continue going lower. The US dollar strengthening of course gives us an opportunity to see crude oil breaking down as well. Fading rallies on short-term charts is how I am trading this, but longer-term traders are probably simply going to sell off.
Brent markets also broke down significantly during the trading sessions that make up the week, crashing through the previous support. Ultimately, the market looks as if it is going to go looking towards the $35 level, perhaps followed by the $32.50 level. Brent will probably lead the way lower, due to the fact that the European Union is shutting things down, and the Brent market is used quite a bit more in non-US countries. With that, I think we go lower, and it is likely that we will continue to break down.
At this point, short-term rallies will probably be sold into but if you are a seller from the longer-term standpoint all you need to do is look for some type of noisy behavior to take advantage of. $30 will course be psychologically significant underneath, so pay attention.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.