DAX and FTSE 100 climb on leisure and energy gains, U.S. jobs data, and ECB rate cut hopes amid easing German inflation.
European markets experienced a notable uptick on Friday, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 index ascending to 470.48, a 0.36% increase. This surge was led by gains in travel and leisure stocks, which rose by 1.2%. The upbeat market mood was also evident in Germany’s DAX Index and the UK’s FTSE, which respectively climbed 0.19% and 0.23%.
Global market participants are keenly awaiting the U.S. November nonfarm payrolls report, expected to play a significant role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions over the forthcoming year. This report is poised to offer crucial insights into the labor market’s health and, by extension, the broader economic landscape.
European shares have been buoyed by strong performances in luxury and energy sectors. The Stoxx 600’s 11% gain this year reflects a robust market, with Germany’s DAX jumping nearly 20%. Notably, easing inflation in Germany bolsters expectations of a peak in eurozone interest rates, influencing investor sentiment. The anticipation of European Central Bank (ECB) rate cuts next year, in response to slowing inflation, further fuels the market optimism.
In the realm of individual stocks, luxury brands like Kering, LVMH, and Hermes witnessed significant gains, with Kering announcing an interim dividend for 2023. However, Anglo American faced a downturn after announcing substantial capital expenditure cuts, while Sainsbury rose following an upgrade from Goldman Sachs. The media firm Vivendi also drew attention, set to join the CAC40 index in mid-December.
The FTSE 100 in the UK mirrored this positive trend, driven partly by rising crude oil prices and energy stock gains. However, Anglo American’s expenditure cuts and a weak demand outlook dampened some of the optimism. The focus remains intensely on the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, with investors cautiously optimistic based on recent positive data trends. The upcoming week promises to be eventful, with key monetary policy announcements expected from the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.