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DAX Index Price Forecast January 12, 2018, Technical Analysis

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jan 12, 2018, 05:00 UTC

German traders were sellers during the trading session on Thursday, reaching down to the €13,150 level, and then stalling a bit. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level underneath is an area that could cause a bit of a bounce, but quite frankly I think that even if we break down below there, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near the 13,100 level will also be important. I look at the €13,000 level as the “floor.”

Dax daily chart, January 12, 2018

The German index has pulled back a bit during the trading session on Thursday, but having said that it’s very likely that the market will find support in this area, as we are at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Below there, we have the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, and more importantly: the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at the large, round, psychologically significant figure – €13,000. Ultimately, I am waiting to buy the DAX, but I don’t see a reason to do so quite yet. I think that a bullish day is probably needed, and then we can casually add a move to the upside, and then go towards the €13,450 level, and eventually go higher towards the €14,000 level. I believe in the DAX longer-term, but we may have gotten a bit of negativity in the market based upon the Euro rallying during the day, making German exports a little bit more expensive.

If we were to break down below the €13,000 level, that would be very negative and I would anticipate that the market would do a 100% pullback to the initial point of the rally at €12,750. That would be very negative sign, and I think that we could even go lower than that. A break below that level would send this market to the €12,500 level, and then eventually the €12,000 level. However, the DAX looks very healthy.

DAX Video 12.01.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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