The German index rolled over during the day on Wednesday, reaching towards the €13,400 level. The EUR/USD pair rally during the day and broke out to fresh, new highs, so that of course has put pressure on German exports, as they become more expensive.
The German index initially went sideways during the trading session on Wednesday, but then broke down significantly. We reached towards the €13,400 level underneath, an area that has been important in the past. We could get a bounce from here, and I fully anticipate that we will see it. However, I also recognize that this is a market that may remain a bit volatile, because we are starting to see a significant pressure in the form of currency headwinds. If we can break out to a fresh, new high, the market is likely to go to the €14,000 level, and then eventually the €15,000 level. I do like the idea of buying dips, and this dip could be a nice opportunity. I also recognize that longer-term we are very positive, so that should end up taking over eventually.
I believe that the €13,000 level underneath is the “floor” in the market, so it’s not until we break down below there that I become concerned. Stock markets have rallied continuingly around the world for months, and I think that continues to be the case. Add slowly, but certainly it seems as if buying is the only thing we can do. Ultimately, I still have a target of €15,000, and I don’t see anything on this chart that tells me it isn’t going to happen. Expect noise, but quite frankly I think you can only look at this from a positive light. Selling is all but impossible at this point.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.