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E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index (NQ) Futures Technical Analysis – August 21, 2018 Forecast

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Aug 21, 2018, 13:56 UTC

Based on the early price action, a bullish tone could develop on a sustained move over 7411.00 and a bearish tone could develop on a sustained move under a downtrending Gann angle at 7377.50.

E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index

September E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures are trading higher shortly after the cash market opening. The move is being fueled by increased demand for risky assets.

E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index
Daily September E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index

Daily Technical Analysis

The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through 7505.50 will change the main trend to up. A move through 7316.50 will signal a resumption of the downtrend. The index has been drifting sideways-to-lower since late July, following a weaker-than-expected earnings report from Facebook. In the meantime, money has been flowing into the Dow and the S&P 500 Index.

The main range is 7166.75 to 7505.50. Its retracement zone at 7330.00 to 7296.00 is support. Additional support is a longer-term 50% level at 7348.25.

The short-term range is 7505.50 to 7316.50. Its retracement zone at 7411.00 to 7433.25 is acting like resistance.

The index has been trading in between the retracement zones for about a week. This indicates investor indecision and impending volatility.

Daily Technical Forecast

Based on the early price action, a bullish tone could develop on a sustained move over 7411.00 and a bearish tone could develop on a sustained move under a downtrending Gann angle at 7377.50.

A move over 7411.00 will indicate the buying is getting stronger. This could trigger a labored rally with targets at 7422.75, 7433.25 and 7441.50.

The trigger point for an acceleration to the upside is 7441.50. Taking out this angle could fuel a move into another downtrending Gann angle at 7473.50. This is the last potential resistance angle before the 7505.50 main top.

The inability to overcome and sustain a move over 7411.00 will signal the presence of sellers. This could trigger a break into 7377.50. This level held as support earlier in the session.

If 7377.50 fails as support then look for the selling to extend into 7348.25 and 7336.00.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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