Ethereum traders did very little during the day on Friday, as the market seems a bit shell shocked after the bloodbath that we have seen. I think that the market will continue to be. Ultimately, this is a market that I think continues to struggle as the damage has been massive.
Ethereum traders continue to find the $1100 level to be far too much to continue to climb over. I think that the lack of volume is going to continue to be an issue, especially considering how strong the selloff was as of late. I think many retail traders have suddenly given up, especially the ones who got in late. At this point, it’s not until we break above the $1100 level on a daily close that I would consider going long, but, it doesn’t feel comfortable until we break above $1200. Longer-term chart suggests that perhaps we may try to recover, but with the lack of volume, that isn’t to be trusted for any real length of time.
Currently, I think if we break down below the $1000 level, shorting this market will probably be the easier to trade. This will be especially true if we have volume. Volume is a major indicator for the reliability of the move, so we need to see it in order to put money to work. I think that the market should continue to be noisy, but I think also continues to favor the downside. On a break out to the upside, but sensibly a move above $1200, then we will probably go looking towards the highs again. I suspect that there is a lot of work to be done for the buyers to be confident enough to put serious money to work though.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.