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EUR/USD Price Forecast – Euro rallies again towards highs

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Feb 1, 2019, 18:18 UTC

The Euro rallied during the trading session on Friday after the jobs report, but quite frankly we have not been able to break out. I think at this point it’s likely that we will continue to see volatility but given enough time I do think that the market is going to try to break above the 1.15 handle above.

EUR/USD daily chart, February 04, 2019

The Euro rallied a bit during the trading session on Friday, reaching towards the 1.15 level above. That’s an area that has been resistive more than once, and therefore it’s not a huge surprise to see that this market can get above there. The 200 day EMA above offers quite a bit of resistance, so if we were to break above there it would be a huge signal to start buying. Overall though, I think that the market will accomplish that, perhaps reaching towards the 1.18 level longer-term. This is a market that is going to continue to be very sloppy and difficult though, as the Federal Reserve has stepped back and kept itself out of the picture.

EUR/USD Video 04.02.19

On the other side of the Atlantic Ocean, we have the ECB in a difficult position as the European Union is starting to post rather negative economic numbers, with Italy entering a technical recession this week. It is because of this that the pair is struggling to pick up momentum, but I do think eventually something happens to push us higher. In the short term, don’t be surprised to see if we pull back a bit, with the 50 day EMA underneath offering support. Quite frankly, this is one of the least interesting Forex pairs to trade right now, but I think we are trying to form a major base to turn the trend around longer term. These tend to take quite some time though.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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