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EUR/USD Price Forecast – Euro struggles at resistance, again.

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jan 8, 2019, 17:20 UTC

The Euro rallied a bit during the trading session to kick off Wednesday but continues to see a lot of resistance in the form of the 1.15 handle. That being said, one has to recognize that it has been rather tenacious about trying to get above that level, and it would be a bit surprising if we did make a serious attempt at it again.

EUR/USD daily chart, January 09, 2019

The Euro has pulled back a bit from the 1.15 handle during the trading session, as we continue to see a lot of resistance in that barrier. However, beyond that we have the 200 day EMA just above there so I think this is going to be a very difficult nut to crack. Once we do, assuming we do, then the Euro could take off. Keep in mind that the Federal Reserve suddenly is a bit more dovish than originally thought, and that of course is dollar negative.

EUR/USD Forecast Video 09.01.019

Quite frankly, if the Europeans could get together this would be very easy for the Euro to strengthen. Unfortunately, they seem to be impossibly lost when it comes to managing their finances or growing their economy. I do think that the Euro is undervalued at the moment, and I also think that we are starting to form a rounded bottom, but obviously it is going to take some time to play out. The reality of the situation is that the Euro is traded by high-frequency traders, so they love going back and forth for micro moves. That is part of what we are seeing here, but eventually we should get some type of catalyst to break out or break down. Another thing that is going to cause a lot of problems is the fact that we still have the Brexit going on.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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