The British pound pulled back on Monday as the market had gotten too far ahead. At this point, the market is likely to pull back toward the ¥172.50 level, where I would expect buyers to return.
The British pound initially tried to rally during the trading session on Monday but gave back gains to show signs of hesitation. Ultimately, this is a market that got a little bit ahead of itself, and it looks as if we are more likely than not going to see the selling pressure. The ¥171.50 level is an area where I think there should be plenty of buying pressure, as we have seen noise in that general vicinity.
Underneath, the ¥170 level is, of course, another area where we would have to see a lot of support as well, especially with the 50-Day EMA racing toward that area. Ultimately, it’s only a matter of time before we see buyers jump back into the market, and therefore I think of looking toward the ¥175 level. ¥175 level is a major resistance barrier, and therefore I think it is probably only a matter of time before the market at least tries to get there. Whether or not we can break above there is a completely different situation to ponder, but at this point, I think it’s probably a scenario where eventually you will find buying opportunities and I think that’s how you approach this market.
Keep in mind that the interest rate differential between these 2 economies continues to diverge, so it does make a lot of sense that the British pound would continue to do quite well against the Japanese yen. Ultimately, this is a situation where I see plenty of buyers willing to jump in, so given enough time we should see more of a “buy on the dips” situation that a lot of people will be looking toward. The market has been very strong for quite some time, so it should not be a huge surprise that we see a resumption of this trend given enough time. Ultimately, I think you are looking for value that you can take advantage of.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.