The British pound has rallied again during the trading session on Monday, as we continue to threaten the same basic barrier that we have been dealing with for a couple of weeks.
The British pound has rallied quite nicely against the Japanese yen during the Monday session, as we continue to see a lot of upward pressure. It’s probably worth noting that the ¥168.50 level has been an area of extreme resistance as of late, so it will be interesting to see if we can continue to go higher. If we can, then the ¥170 level will almost certainly be the target. On the other hand, if we struggle, then it’s likely we fall back to the ¥167.50 level, and then possibly down to the 50-Day EMA, which is presently at the ¥166.275 level.
Regardless, this is a market that looks like it is trying to bottom and form a big “W pattern” which in and of itself is a rather bullish sign. Because of this, it’s very likely that we will go looking to the ¥170 level, but keep in mind this pair is highly sensitive to risk appetite, and of course interest rates as the Bank of Japan continues to fight rising interest rates in its economy. By doing so, they are buying unlimited bonds, which is the same thing as printing unlimited yen.
In this scenario, it’s difficult to imagine the Japanese yen finding any real strength. Ultimately, I think we have a situation where the pair does eventually take off to the upside, but it might be rather messy in the meantime. The market recently formed a little bit of a “double bottom” at the ¥165 level, which is a very healthy sign for the continuation of an uptrend.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.