Analysis and Recommendations: The GBP/USD followed global cues, trading fairly flat at 1.6117 up just a few pips at this writing. Sterling is flat to the
The GBP/USD followed global cues, trading fairly flat at 1.6117 up just a few pips at this writing. Sterling is flat to the USD, outperforming most of the majors as movement conveys a relatively muted reaction to yesterday’s post-S&P announcement decline. S&P has changed its outlook for the UK’s AAA credit rating to negative, citing low growth and official commitment to austerity as two of the major concerns going forward. S&P was the last of the three major rating agencies to have shifted their outlook to negative, following Moody’s (Feb 2012) and Fitch (March 2012), though all three maintain their AAA ratings. The FX impact of this shift suggests a reduction in the support previously afforded to GBP.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data December 14, 2012 actual v. forecast
Date |
|
Currency |
|
|
Event |
Actual |
|
Forecast |
|
Previous |
|
|
Dec. 14 |
|
CNY |
|
|
Chinese HSBC Manufacturing PMI |
50.90 |
|
|
|
50.50 |
|
|
|
|
JPY |
|
|
Industrial Production (MoM) |
1.6% |
|
1.8% |
|
1.8% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
French Manufacturing PMI |
44.6 |
|
45.0 |
|
44.5 |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
German Manufacturing PMI |
46.3 |
|
47.2 |
|
46.8 |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
Manufacturing PMI |
46.3 |
|
46.6 |
|
46.2 |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
CPI (YoY) |
2.2% |
|
2.2% |
|
2.2% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
Employment Change (QoQ) |
-0.2% |
|
0.0% |
|
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
EUR |
|
|
Core CPI (YoY) |
1.4% |
|
1.5% |
|
1.5% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Core CPI (MoM) |
0.1% |
|
0.2% |
|
0.2% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
CPI (MoM) |
-0.3% |
|
-0.2% |
|
0.1% |
|
|
|
|
CAD |
|
|
Manufacturing Sales (MoM) |
-1.40% |
|
0.00% |
|
0.40% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
CPI (YoY) |
1.8% |
|
1.9% |
|
2.2% |
|
|
|
|
USD |
|
|
Core CPI (YoY) |
1.9% |
|
2.0% |
|
2.0% |
|
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
Dec. 17 |
13:30 |
USD |
-0.5 |
-5.2 |
|
|
14:00 |
USD |
|
3.3B |
Government Bond Auction
Date Time Country
Dec 17 10:10 Norway
Dec 17 18:00 US
Dec 18 01:30 Japan
Dec 18 09:30 Spain
Dec 18 10:10 Greece
Dec 18 18:00 US
Dec 19 18:00 US
Dec 20 10:30 UK
Dec 20 16:30 Italy
Dec 20 18:00 US
Dec 21 16:30 Italy