Gold markets initially fell during the bulk of the week, but turned around to form a massive hammer starting at the $1275 level. By turning around and
Gold markets initially fell during the bulk of the week, but turned around to form a massive hammer starting at the $1275 level. By turning around and forming a hammer, it suggests that the market is trying to build up enough pressure to go to the upside, with an eye on the $1300 level above. If we can break above that level, the market should continue to go much higher, perhaps reaching towards the $1325 level next, and then eventually the $1350 level after that. Pullbacks continue to be buying opportunities, if we can stay above the $1275 level. Alternately, a breakdown below there should send this market to the $1250 level next, which is “fair value” for the year. The pattern that we are starting to form is a bit of a “U” shape, which suggests that perhaps we are trying to form enough momentum to go to the upside.
Longer-term, the market should go looking towards the $1400 level above but it’s going to take some type of momentum to finally break out. I think longer-term “buy-and-hold” traders have the right idea, as we have formed a nice uptrend in channel for some time, and that it’s likely to signify that we will eventually get that moved to the upside. However, with a lot of leverage on your position you could find yourself in a lot of trouble. The volatility in gold will continue to keep leverage on the back burner, but the longer-term traders have done quite well in this scenario. By keeping your leverage low, or even not at all, you should continue to benefit from what has been a gradual grind higher, and of course with the U.S. Congress being unable to pass tax reform of significance, that should continue to push this market to the upside.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.