Based on the early trade, pressure will remain on gold prices as long as the market remains under the Fibonacci level at $1300.60. This is resistance and a trigger point for a potential acceleration to the upside.
August Comex Gold futures are trading lower on Tuesday shortly after the regular session opening. The market is being pressured by a recovery in the U.S. Dollar and increasing demand for higher risk assets. A drop in U.S. Treasury yields may actually be underpinning gold prices.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $1286.80 will signal a resumption of the downtrend.
The minor trend is also down. A trade through $1311.50 will change the minor trend to up, following closing by $1312.60. A move through $1293.10 will indicate the selling is getting stronger, targeting $1292.00 and $1286.80 next.
The market is also trading on the weak side of a major Fibonacci level at $1300.60.
The main range is $1332.40 to $1286.80. Its retracement zone at $1309.60 to $1315.00 is the next upside target, followed by a major 50% level at $1315.60.
Based on the early trade, pressure will remain on gold prices as long as the market remains under the Fibonacci level at $1300.60. This is resistance.
A move through $1293.10 should lead to increased selling pressure and this type of trading should continue down to $1292 then $1286.80.
Overcoming and sustaining a move over $1300.60 will signal the return of buyers. This will put the market in a position to accelerate into at least $1309.60 if the buying volume increases.
The short-term direction is being controlled by the Fibonacci level at $1300.60. The longer-term direction is being controlled by the 50% level at $1315.60. Holding between these levels will create a neutral market.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.