The gold market has sold off hard in the early hours of Friday, as the ceasefire in the Middle East has taken some of the “risk premium” out of the market. At this point, the market is still in the massive $300 range though, so keep this in mind.
The gold market has plunged in early trading on Friday as we continue to see a lot of really noisy trading overall in an environment that is becoming increasingly “risk on.” And that I think is the biggest problem gold has at the moment. You’re just looking at a market that just doesn’t have a lot to fear at the moment. And therefore, the idea of jumping in and buying gold isn’t as appealing as it could be. In fact, in pre-market trading, we have broken below the crucial 50 day EMA. So, I’m watching that very closely as well, due to its influence at times.
I have no interest whatsoever in trying to get too aggressive here in shorting the market. And I don’t necessarily think that you can buy the market on a whim either. I do recognize that we could see a lot of noisy behavior, but over the longer term, I still think there is a massive amount of support to be found near the $3,200 level, an area that has been important multiple times in the past. So, with that, I remain bullish longer term, but I recognize we probably have some work to do here, perhaps burning off some of the excess before we really start to buy again. If we break down below $3,200, then we could see a few major problems, but even then, I think you probably have a lot of support at the $3,000 level as well.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.