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Gold Price Prediction – Prices Rally in Tandem with Riskier Assets

By
David Becker
Updated: May 3, 2020, 14:43 GMT+00:00

Senate bill buoys gold

Gold Price Prediction – Prices Rally in Tandem with Riskier Assets

Gold prices moved higher on Wednesday and are poised to test resistance. Prices have been highly correlated to riskier assets, which is surprising. The whipsaw price action that has been occurring in the equity market has been mirrored in gold. The US dollar moved higher but did not create headwinds for the yellow metal. Gold volatility, as reflected by the Gold VIX moved higher and continues to hover near the 27% level.

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Technical Analysis

Gold prices moved higher and are poised to test resistance near the 1,747. Support near the 10-day moving average at 1,698. Short term momentum has whipsawed and turned positive as the fast stochastic generated a crossover buy signal. This happened as the fast stochastic is printing a reading of 72. Medium-term momentum was turning negative but whipsawed and turned positive. The MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is still printing in the black but now the trajectory is rising which points to higher prices.

Senate Passes Stimulus Bill

The Senate passed the $484 billion bill by a voice vote, sending it to the House for approval expected Thursday. President Trump said on Twitter he supported the legislation. Most of the packages will go to the SBA, to help provide loans to small businesses. The program ran out of funds this month and will be topped up with another 360-billion. The package, which lawmakers dubbed an interim emergency bill, also includes funding to ramp up the country’s testing for the new coronavirus.

About the Author

David Becker focuses his attention on various consulting and portfolio management activities at Fortuity LLC, where he currently provides oversight for a multimillion-dollar portfolio consisting of commodities, debt, equities, real estate, and more.

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