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Gold Price Prediction – Prices Trade Sidways Following Large Budge Deficit Forecast

By:
David Becker
Published: Feb 12, 2021, 19:58 UTC

Yields continue to rally

Gold Price Prediction – Prices Trade Sidways Following Large Budge Deficit Forecast

Gold prices consolidate as the dollar consolidated and US yields moved higher. This rise in yields came despite a larger tha expected federal budget. Prices continue to trade in a very tight range while momentum has consolidated.

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Technical analysis

Gold prices consolidate below resistance near the 10-day moving average at 1,829. Prices pushed through support and are targeting an upward sloping trend line that comes in near 1,788. Short-term momentum has turned negative as the fast stochastic generated a crossover sell signal. Medium-term momentum is flat as the  MACD (moving average convergence divergence) index histogram is printing near the zero index level with a flat trajectory, which points to consolidation.

The Federal Budge Estimates Surged

The federal budget deficit is projected to total $2.3 trillion in the 2021 fiscal year, a drop from last year but well ahead of anything the U.S. had seen prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, according to the Congressional Budget Office. That total does not include the $1.9 trillion in relief spending that President Joe Biden has proposed because the ultimate size of the package has not been determined.

About the Author

David Becker focuses his attention on various consulting and portfolio management activities at Fortuity LLC, where he currently provides oversight for a multimillion-dollar portfolio consisting of commodities, debt, equities, real estate, and more.

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