Intel Corporation (INTC) stock completed a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement during Friday’s tech selloff, reaching a low of $98.33. It subsequently rebounded sharply on Monday, climbing to a high of $112.37 as buyers returned. Additional signs of support emerged from a successful test of the lower boundary of a falling channel and support near the 10-week moving average at approximately $99.14.
In addition, the retracement nearly completed a 100% downside target for a falling ABCD pattern. That target is derived from the two declines following the May peak of $132.75, with the measured move projecting to $95.81, a price level that may represent a significant pivot area.
The current bearish correction following that high has confirmed a falling channel pattern, as Friday’s swing low marked the second touch of the channel’s lower boundary. Although the channel consolidation may have further to go before it completes, Monday’s one-day bullish reversal suggests that the upper boundary of the channel could be tested as resistance before a new low is established.
The confluence of several indicators showing support near Friday’s low and the subsequent bullish reaction may turn out to be the low of the correction. That would be consistent with strength seen in the sharp 226% rally that preceded the channel correction in just 29 trading days. That trend was supported by a positive market reaction to the company’s Q1-2026 earnings report on April 23. The advance with a high of $132.75 completed a 223.6% extension of the prior downtrend that ended at the 2025 low.
Given the significance of the advance from the March 30 low of $40.63, it seems reasonable that a deeper retracement may occur before INTC re-establishes its uptrend and continues a potential bullish recovery. If last week’s low of $98.33 fails as support, then the 50-day moving average becomes a key downside target. It is now at $90.12 and rising.
Just below the 50-day moving average lies a minor confluence zone from $87.43 to $86.69, defined by two technical indicators. That area could take on added significance given its proximity to a top boundary line of a rising trend channel. Just as support near $98 helped trigger Monday’s sharp rebound, this lower zone may represent the next key area where buyers could step in should the current correction deeper. It previously represented resistance and may now act as support.
If you’d like to know more about technical analysis and how traders use it, please visit our educational area.
With over 20 years of experience in financial markets, Bruce is a seasoned finance MBA and CMT® charter holder. Having worked as head of trading strategy at hedge funds and a corporate advisor for trading firms, Bruce shares his expertise in futures to retail investors, providing actionable insights through both technical and fundamental analyses.