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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY Forecasts – Dollar Fights Back as Yields Drop

By: 
Christopher Lewis

The US dollar softened a bit in the early part of the Monday session, as the missiles in the Middle East have stopped, for the moment.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

EUR/USD daily chart showing price at 1.13866 near the bottom of a shaded range at the 1.14000 level, below the 50-EMA at 1.14822 and the 200-EMA at 1.15623.
EUR/USD trades at 1.13866, pressing the 1.1400 floor of its range below both moving averages. Source: TradingView

The euro gapped higher against the US dollar and then took off as the conflict in the Middle East seems to be slowing down again. That being said, with those falling yields in America, it makes sense that the dollar lost a little bit of strength, but we’ve seen selling of the euro come back into play, which makes sense. And now it looks like we are possibly continuing this choppy and volatile negative behavior. The 1.14 level continues to be an area of interest as we are just simply bouncing around with the latest headlines.

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GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD daily chart showing price at 1.33125 just above the 1.33000 level, below the 50-EMA at 1.33740 and the 200-EMA at 1.33833.
GBP/USD trades at 1.33125, slipping toward 1.3300 below both moving averages. Source: TradingView

The British pound took off to the upside, gapped higher to kick off the session, reached the area of the 50-day EMA, and then turned around to show signs of negativity. We find ourselves sitting just above the 1.33 level again. This is an area that has been important multiple times. At this juncture, it looks like support, but if the market breaks down below there, it could lead to fresh selling. We’ll just have to wait and see. Rallies at this point continue to see selling pressure, as we have earlier this morning, based on the last week or so.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

USD/JPY daily chart showing price at 163.632 above the 163.000 level, with the 50-EMA at 161.366 and the 200-EMA at 157.603.
USD/JPY trades at 163.632, extending its climb above 163 and both moving averages. Source: TradingView

The US dollar has gapped lower to kick off the trading session on Monday against the Japanese yen, but turned around to show signs of strength again as despite the fact that rates are falling in America; the interest rate differential between these two currencies is still very wide, so that boosts the carry trade. We’ve broken above massive swing highs going back to the 1980s, so it’s difficult to imagine this market’s going to turn around on a dime. And ultimately, we’re in a nice 45-degree bullish trend, so by all accounts, the chart looks just as bullish now as it did a few days ago.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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