US stock futures display mixed performance as investors eagerly anticipate key inflation data, shaping Fed policy and trajectory of interest rates.
The major US stock index futures showed little change on Tuesday as traders awaited key inflation data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 experienced gains on Monday, while the Nasdaq Composite lagged behind.
At 09:43 GMT, Dow futures were trading lower at 34128.00, while S&P 500 Index futures were slightly up at 4445.75. Nasdaq futures also saw a slight increase, trading at 15203.00.
Investors are eagerly waiting for the release of the June consumer price index report on Wednesday and the June producer price index on Thursday. These reports will provide insights into the direction of interest rates, and investors have already priced in another rate increase at the Federal Reserve’s July meeting. However, uncertainty remains regarding the central bank’s actions in September, especially after last week’s strong jobs data raised concerns about potential rate hikes.
US Treasury yields declined as investors assessed the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Fed officials have expressed differing views on the need for rate hikes. Mary Daly from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco believes “a couple more rate hikes” are likely this year, while Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester emphasized the importance of higher rates to achieve sustainable inflation.
Investors will also keep an eye on the release of June’s NFIB Small Business Index, which measures business confidence. Economists predict a slight increase compared to May. Additionally, the second-quarter earnings season will begin with reports from major financial institutions and companies like JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, BlackRock, PepsiCo, Delta Air, and UnitedHealth.
The market remains cautious as it awaits inflation data and evaluates the Federal Reserve’s next moves. These factors will heavily impact interest rates and the investment landscape in the near future.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.