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NASDAQ 100, Dow Jones, S&P 500: Investors Cautious as Inflation Data Looms

By:
James Hyerczyk
Updated: Jul 11, 2023, 09:59 GMT+00:00

US stock futures display mixed performance as investors eagerly anticipate key inflation data, shaping Fed policy and trajectory of interest rates.

S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Dow Jones

Highlights

  • US stock index futures show little change as inflation data awaited.
  • Dow futures down slightly, S&P 500 futures up, Nasdaq futures rise.
  • Focus on inflation data, interest rates, and Fed’s actions.

Mixed Performance in US Stock Futures as Investors Await Inflation Data

The major US stock index futures showed little change on Tuesday as traders awaited key inflation data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 experienced gains on Monday, while the Nasdaq Composite lagged behind.

Daily S&P 500 Index

Dow Futures Down Slightly, S&P 500 Futures Up, Nasdaq Futures Rise

At 09:43 GMT, Dow futures were trading lower at 34128.00, while S&P 500 Index futures were slightly up at 4445.75. Nasdaq futures also saw a slight increase, trading at 15203.00.

Focus on Inflation Data and Future Interest Rates

Investors are eagerly waiting for the release of the June consumer price index report on Wednesday and the June producer price index on Thursday. These reports will provide insights into the direction of interest rates, and investors have already priced in another rate increase at the Federal Reserve’s July meeting. However, uncertainty remains regarding the central bank’s actions in September, especially after last week’s strong jobs data raised concerns about potential rate hikes.

Fed Officials Express Different Views on Monetary Policy

US Treasury yields declined as investors assessed the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Fed officials have expressed differing views on the need for rate hikes. Mary Daly from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco believes “a couple more rate hikes” are likely this year, while Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester emphasized the importance of higher rates to achieve sustainable inflation.

Market Monitoring NFIB Small Business Index and Earnings Reports

Investors will also keep an eye on the release of June’s NFIB Small Business Index, which measures business confidence. Economists predict a slight increase compared to May. Additionally, the second-quarter earnings season will begin with reports from major financial institutions and companies like JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, BlackRock, PepsiCo, Delta Air, and UnitedHealth.

Cautious Market Outlook Pending Inflation Data and Fed’s Actions

The market remains cautious as it awaits inflation data and evaluates the Federal Reserve’s next moves. These factors will heavily impact interest rates and the investment landscape in the near future.

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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