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NASDAQ 100, Dow Jones, S&P 500 News: Consumer Stocks Rise as Energy Falls Amid ADP Jobs Data

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Oct 4, 2023, 14:44 GMT+00:00

In a volatile market, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite defy Dow Jones 30's minor dip, as disappointing ADP jobs data jolt traders.

Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Dow Jones

Highlights

  • The S&P 500 defies Dow’s dip, rising 0.5% as traders weigh a disappointing ADP jobs report.
  • Treasury yields pull back from multi-year highs, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment.
  • Consumer discretionary stocks, led by Etsy and Tesla, gain ground as energy sector suffers.
  • A meager 89,000 private payrolls added last month, drastically missing 160,000 forecast.

Wall Street’s Mixed Response to Weak Jobs Report

The S&P 500 inched higher by 0.5% on Wednesday, defying the Dow Jones‘ 0.18% dip, as traders parsed a disappointing ADP jobs report that missed Dow Jones forecasts. Treasury yields, which have been hovering around multiyear highs, retreated slightly. The Nasdaq Composite also saw a modest uptick, rising by 0.39%.

Sectorial Performance: Consumer Discretionary Leads, Energy Lags

While energy stocks took a hit, with Philips 66, Occidental Petroleum, Schlumberger N.V., and Devon Energy all sliding over 3%, consumer discretionary stocks emerged as the day’s winners. Etsy and Tesla led the sector, each gaining more than 2%. The contrast between the sectors comes amid falling crude prices and broader market uncertainties.

The Labor Market’s Tightrope

The ADP report disclosed that only 89,000 private payrolls were added last month, falling short of a projected 160,000. This comes on top of another downward trend: wages increased at a 5.9% annual rate, marking the 12th straight monthly decline. Job growth remained largely confined to the services sector, notably in leisure and hospitality, while other sectors such as manufacturing and transportation posted declines.

Interest Rates and Market Indicators

The 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.745% after crossing the 4.8% mark a day earlier. This dovetails with the ISM nonmanufacturing index, which came in at 53.6 for September, slightly below forecasts. These factors combined indicate that interest rates remain a crucial driver for equity markets.

Short-Term Outlook

Considering the gloomy jobs data and sectorial swings, traders should keep a close eye on economic indicators such as the upcoming weekly jobless claims and Non-Farm Payrolls reports. Given the pullback in Treasury yields and unimpressive wage growth, the short-term outlook for the market leans bearish.

With various sectors showing mixed responses to the economic indicators, understanding these nuances will be key for traders navigating the remainder of the week.

Nasdaq 100 Technical Analysis

Daily Nasdaq 100 Index

Upon verification of the calculations and data provided, the current daily price of the Nasdaq 100 Index sits at 14612.53, showing a modest gain over the previous session.

Compared to the 200-Day moving average of 13602.84, the index is trading above this longer-term indicator, generally a bullish signal. However, it is trading below the 50-Day moving average of 15132.15, indicating potential short-term weakness.

Based on available data, the market sentiment leans cautiously bullish in the longer term but shows potential vulnerability in the near term.

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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