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Natural Gas Price Forecast – Natural Gas Markets Finding Support Again

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Nov 21, 2019, 16:48 UTC

Natural gas markets get a little bit of a boost during the trading session on Thursday as the inventory number came out at lower figures than anticipated. This shows that natural gas is starting to get used to more.

Natural gas daily chart, November 22, 2019

The natural gas markets have been a bit noisy during the trading session on Thursday as the inventory figures have come out. They have come out more bullish than anticipated, as the reading was -94 billion, as opposed to the anticipated -86 billion. This suggests that the market is probably going to continue to see a lot of back and forth, but as we are in the beginning of the coldest part of the year, it makes quite a bit of sense that natural gas will continue to be used up by the northern hemisphere. With that, we are typically in a cyclically bullish time.

NATGAS Video 22.11.19

At this point, we can break above the highs from the trading session on Thursday it’s likely that the market could then go to the $2.75 level, which is where a gap is formed. If we can break above the top of that gap, then the market is free to go much higher, with the initial target being the $3.00 level. At this point, I don’t have any interest in shorting natural gas although I do recognize that there is a gap underneath at the $2.40 level that has yet to be filled, but at this point we don’t necessarily have to go filling it now, it could be something that happens much later. All things being equal I expect a lot of noise, but I do believe that value hunters will continue to return to this market. I have no interest in trying to go against the cyclical trade right now.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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