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Oil and Brent Crude Oil Forecasts – Middle East Risk Appetite Drives Crude Oil Volatility

By
Christopher Lewis
Published: Jul 15, 2026, 14:28 GMT+00:00

The crude oil markets are trying to stabilize early on Wednesday as we are looking at the Middle East for the latest headlines. War will continue to be the biggest driver of risk appetite.

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WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

WTI crude has rebounded off the $70 support zone and is testing its 50-day EMA near $81.71 as overhead resistance. Source: TradingView.

The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has dropped to a level that is significant support, right around the $70 level. This is an area that has been tested multiple times in the past, and it looks like buyers are trying to step back into the market. We have seen a bit of a bounce from the lower level during the early hours, and the question now is whether we can sustain this momentum.

The market has a lot of moving parts right now, including geopolitical risks and supply disruptions. The 50-day EMA sits above and could offer a bit of resistance, sitting right around the $81.71 level. If we can clear that, then we could be looking at a move back towards the $85 level. On the downside, if we break below the $70 level, it would be a very bearish sign.

Brent Oil Technical Analysis

Brent has rebounded from above $75 and is pressing against its 200-day EMA near $83, a key barrier for the next move. Source: TradingView.

The Brent Crude Oil market is also showing signs of a potential turnaround, bouncing from just above the $75 level. The market has been in a bit of a consolidation range over the last few weeks, but the overall trend remains very noisy.

The 200-day EMA sits right around the $83.40 level, which, of course, could be a major barrier for traders. A break above that could open up a much bigger move, but if we continue to see a lack of demand and economic concerns globally, it might keep oil prices capped in this general area. Watch the headlines coming out of the Middle East, as they continue to be a primary catalyst for sudden shifts in sentiment.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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