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Silver Rises to $18.00 – Will the Gains Continue?

By
Kenny Fisher
Updated: Oct 31, 2019, 14:10 GMT+00:00

Silver continues to flirt with the $18.00 - is a breakout around the corner? The metal will likely stay calm on Thursday, but things could heat up on Friday, with the release of key U.S. employment numbers.

Silver

Silver prices have moved higher in Thursday trade. In the European session, the metal is trading at $18.01, up $0.18 or 1.00% on the day.

Federal Reserve Trims Rates

There were no surprises from the Federal Reserve, which lowered the benchmark rate by 25 basis points, putting it in a range between 1.50% and 1.75%. The rate has not been this low since May 2018. This was the third straight rate cut of one-quarter percent. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the Fed would take a pause from the cuts, saying that the “current stance of monetary policy as likely to remain appropriate.” We can expect the Fed to maintain rate levels unless economic growth is weaker than expected. The rate cut on Wednesday was considered a virtual certainty by the markets and silver prices showed a muted reaction. The rate statement was positive in tone, as policymakers noted that the labor market “remains strong” and that the economic growth was “rising at a moderate rate”.

Ahead – Employment Reports

Investors will be glued to key employment data, which will be released on Friday. Wage growth is projected to grow by 0.3% in October, after a disappointing 0.0% reading in September. However, nonfarm payrolls are forecast to slip to just 90 thousand, an unusually low reading. Weak job numbers could push silver prices upwards.

Silver Technical Analysis

Silver continues to flirt with the round number of 18.00, which has psychological significance. If the metal can consolidate above this line, it could continue to gain ground and move towards the 19.00 level. The 50-EMA line, which is at 17.54, has been in a support role for about a week and this is indicative of an uptrend. Although the 18.00 line has been a stubborn barrier, we could see some buyers step in and push the price above the $18.00 level before the end of the week.
XAGUSD 1-Day Chart

About the Author

Kenny is an experienced market analyst, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny has over 15 years of experience across a broad range of markets and assets –forex, indices and commodities.

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