SpaceX is the most watched story in the global private market as it is at the heart of three powerful themes: rockets, satellite internet and the future of orbital infrastructure. The expected IPO has generated a lot of excitement but the more important investment question is whether investors need to chase the IPO premium or find other avenues to get exposure to same satellite broadband theme in the public marketplace. The private market price for SpaceX is above $600 as it has risen quite significantly in the last six months. This increment indicates demand, but also a price that may reflect a high degree of optimism.
SpaceX is not just a rocket company any more. Starlink has now become the key reason for investors to stake a huge valuation on the business. Last year, Starlink reportedly brought in approximately $11.4 billion in revenues, and investor appetite for a SpaceX public offering hinges on Starlink’s success. This is more of a global broadband story than a traditional space launch story. SpaceX is also the largest rocket launcher. This gives it an edge over most of its rivals when it comes to cost and scale.
SpaceX’s private market price began to rise from the lower end of range near the end of 2025 and surged in early 2026. The price later eased from its surge but remained well above the previous range. That is important because it demonstrates investors are still interested, even with the volatility rose prior to the IPO. But this also poses a risk. Early buyers of a private company going public with a big value and lots of media attention may see a wild roller coaster ride. SpaceX could be the long term winner but the IPO price may suspect years of future growth.
Amazon (AMZN) is also gaining more significance as it launches its satellite broadband initiative. This gives public investors a new opportunity to invest in same theme. Project Kuiper has now been renamed Amazon Leo and Amazon states the network will provide high-speed, low-latency broadband service using over 3,000 satellites. Amazon has also announced it has launched over 300 milestones since 11 missions and will launch more in the future.
The advantage of Amazon is not the same as SpaceX’s. SpaceX has scale in rockets and in Starlink. Amazon has AWS, consumer reach, enterprise relationships, logistics and a solid balance sheet. The company has also said it has agreed to a deal for the acquisition of Globalstar and a partnership with Amazon Leo to support satellite services for iPhone and Apple Watch users. This gives Amazon a direct-to-device angle not just a broadband angle. Amazon could look like secure and more liquid option for those who prefer satellite exposure without chasing the SpaceX IPO premium.
SpaceX could be among the biggest IPOs of this cycle. But the stock may be entering the public markets with high expectations. The private market price indicates that the demand is very strong. But it also reveals volatility following the quick repricing. So, getting the timing right is important. Those wishing for straight exposure to SpaceX might wait for additional disclosure and transparency of SpaceX’s public valuation. Amazon also has more diverse approach to investing in the satellite broadband space: Amazon Leo, AWS, Globalstar and direct-to-device services. For now, SpaceX is the outlier in terms of growth but Amazon could be the more sensible play on the public market in the meantime until the IPO process is over.
Muhammad Umair is a finance MBA and engineering PhD. As a seasoned financial analyst specializing in currencies and precious metals, he combines his multidisciplinary academic background to deliver a data-driven, contrarian perspective. As founder of Gold Predictors, he leads a team providing advanced market analytics, quantitative research, and refined precious metals trading strategies.