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U.S. Dollar Retreats As Michigan Consumer Sentiment Misses Estimates: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Aug 15, 2025, 16:49 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD tests resistance at 1.1685 - 1.1700 as traders focus on U.S. economic data.
  • GBP/USD attempts to settle above the 1.3550 level.
  • USD/JPY pulled back as Japan's GDP Growth Rate exceeded estimates.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Pulls Back Ahead Of The Weekend

DXY
DXY 150825 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as traders react to the weaker-than-expected Michigan Consumer Sentiment report. The report indicated that Michigan Consumer Sentiment decreased from 61.7 in July to 58.6 in August, compared to analyst consensus of 62.

A move below 97.60 will push U.S. Dollar Index towards the support level, which is located in the 97.10 – 97.30 range.

EUR/USD Moves Higher As Traders Bet On Dovish Fed

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 150825 4h Chart

EUR/USD gains ground as traders focus on the Retail Sales report from the U.S. The report indicated that Retail Sales increased by +0.5% month-over-month in July, in line with analyst consensus.

A successful test of the resistance at 1.1685 – 1.1700 will push EUR/USD towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 1.1800 – 1.1815 range.

GBP/USD Tests Resistance At 1.3570 – 1.3585

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 150825 4h Chart

GBP/USD is trying to settle above the resistance at 1.3570 – 1.3585 as traders focus on general weakness of the U.S. dollar.

If GBP/USD manages to settle above the 1.3585 level, it will head towards the next resistance, which is located in the 1.3665 – 1.3680 range.

USD/CAD Remains Stuck Near 1.3800

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 150825 4h Chart

USD/CAD is mostly flat despite the pullback in commodity markets. Other commodity-related currencies gain some ground in today’s trading session as traders bet on dovish Fed.

If USD/CAD stays above the 1.3800 level, it will move towards the next resistance at 1.3845 – 1.3860.

USD/JPY Moves Lower As Japan’s GDP Growth Rate Beats Estimates

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 150825 4h Chart

USD/JPY moved lower as traders reacted to GDP Growth Rate report from Japan. The report indicated that GDP Growth Rate was +0.3% in the second quarter, compared to analyst consensus of +0.1%.

RSI is in the moderate territory, and there is plenty of room to gain additional downside momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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