U.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as traders react to Producer Prices data for March. The report indicated that PPI increased by +0.5% month-over-month, compared to analyst consensus of +1.1%. The previous report was revised from +0.7% to +0.5%.
Core PPI grew by +0.1%, compared to analyst forecast of +0.5%. The lower-than-expected PPI data put pressure on the American currency.
Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle below the support level at 98.00 – 98.15. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar index will move towards the next support, which is located in the 97.15 – 97.30 range.
EUR/USD gains ground as traders focus on the strong pullback in oil prices. WTI oil declined below the $92.50 level, while Brent oil settled below $95.50. Oil traders bet on progress in U.S. – Iran negotiations.
Today, traders also had a chance to take a look at the Wholesale Prices report for March. The report showed that Wholesale Prices increased by +2.7% on a month-over-month basis, compared to analyst forecast of +0.4%.
EUR/USD moved above the resistance at 1.1765 – 1.1780 and is trying to settle above the 1.1800 level. If EUR/USD manages to settle above 1.1800, it will head towards the next resistance, which is located in the 1.1835 – 1.1850 range.
GBP/USD moved higher as demand for riskier assets increased amid signs of potential de-escalation in the Middle East.
From the technical point of view, GBP/USD is trying to settle above the resistance level at 1.3570 – 1.3585. If GBP/USD manages to settle above the 1.3585 level, it will head towards the next resistance at 1.3685 – 1.3700.
USD/CAD pulled back as traders focused on the rally in silver markets. Silver prices gained 5% amid rising demand for precious metals. The pullback in the oil markets did not put any pressure on the Canadian dollar. Other commodity-related currencies have also gained ground in today’s trading session.
USD/CAD settled below the 1.3800 level and is trying to settle below 1.3750. In case this attempt is successful, USD/CAD will head towards the nearest support at 1.3700 – 1.3715.
On the upside, USD/CAD needs to climb back above the resistance at 1.3800 – 1.3815 to have a chance to gain upside momentum in the near term. If USD/CAD manages to settle back above 1.3815, it will head towards the 50 MA at 1.3864.
USD/JPY failed to settle above the 160.00 level and declined below the 159.00 level as traders reacted to the pullback in Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries moved towards the 3.75% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries settled near 4.27%.
There are no signs of interventions from the BoJ which is not surprising as USD/JPY did not climb above the key 160.00 level.
The nearest support for USD/JPY is located in the 158.00 – 158.50 range. If USD/JPY declines below the 158.00 level, it will head towards the next support at 154.50 – 155.00.
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Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.