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USD/JPY Price Forecast – US Dollar Continues to Churn Against Yen

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Mar 24, 2021, 14:03 UTC

The US dollar initially fell against the Japanese yen only to turn around and recover later in the day. We are starting to see more sideways action.

USD/JPY Price Forecast – US Dollar Continues to Churn Against Yen

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The Euro pulled back a bit during the trading session initially on Wednesday but then turned around to jump right back into the previous consolidation area. Ultimately, this is a market that I think continues to see noise near the ¥109 level, as it is a large, round, psychologically significant figure, as well as an area that has previously been important.

USD/JPY Video 25.03.21

All things being equal, this is a market that is very noisy, and I think we are simply trying to figure out what to do next. In general, this is a market that I believe is going to be either sideways to try and work off some of the froth in the market, or it will pull back in order to offer value. I would be very interested in buying a pullback as it gives value in what looks to be a longer-term trend change. After all, yields in America are far outpacing Japan, so that does make quite a bit of sense that this pair continues to go higher over the longer term.

Nonetheless, this is a market that has gone straight up in the air recently, so now the question is whether or not we go sideways or if we pull back? I have no interest in trying to buy it all the way appear, at least not until we have a couple more weeks of sideways action. That being said, the ¥107 level is crucial because not only is it a large round figure, but it is also roughly where the 50 day EMA is reaching towards at this point. I have no interest in shorting.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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