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USD/JPY Price Forecast – US Dollar Sideways Against The Yen

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Oct 24, 2019, 15:48 UTC

The US dollar has done nothing all week against the Japanese and, as we are pressing the significant 200-day EMA. That is a longer-term trend defining indicator and will attract a lot of attention. Quite often, traders will use the 200-day EMA as a proxy for the overall trend.

USD/JPY daily chart, October 25, 2019

The US dollar initially try to rally during the trading session on Thursday, but then rolled over to show signs of exhaustion yet again. The market is going sideways overall and it looks like we are probably going to continue showing signs of exhaustion and constriction. At this point, the market looks as if the 200-day EMA is going to continue to be a major issue, and of course we have seen the market break down significantly from this general vicinity to reach the lows, so obviously there is a lot of resistance.

USD/JPY Video 25.10.19

If the market was the break above the ¥109 level, then we could see the USD/JPY pair go higher. To the downside, the market was to break down below the ¥108 level, then it could open up the door to the ¥107 level. All things being equal, this is a pair that will form a rather impulsive candlestick that you can follow but it doesn’t seem likely to do so right now. Beyond that, the market seems to be waiting for some type of catalyst, something that it just doesn’t have right now. The US/China trade situation continues to be the same, so ultimately that will keep this market relatively quiet and stagnant in this area. This is essentially “dead money”, but once we get that impulsive candlestick then it’s time to start trading this pair again. Until then, probably best just to observe and wait for movement.

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About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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