Worldcoin’s WLD token is lining up a bullish technical breakout just weeks before a major reduction in its daily unlock rate.
WLD Bull Flag Points to 25% Upside
Worldcoin was trading near $0.64 on Monday after rebounding sharply from its 50-period exponential moving average (50-period EMA, the red wave) near $0.60 on the four-hour chart.
The bounce is technically important because the 50-4H EMA has acted as short-term support during WLD’s latest consolidation phase. The token is also holding above its 20-, 50-, 100- and 200-period EMAs, suggesting that buyers still control the broader intraday trend.
The four-hour chart shows WLD forming a bull flag, a bullish continuation setup that usually appears after a strong rally. In WLD’s case, the token surged earlier in June before entering a downward-sloping consolidation channel.
A decisive breakout above the flag’s upper trendline near the $0.65–$0.66 area could confirm the setup. The measured upside target sits near $0.8155, implying roughly 25% gains from current levels.
Momentum is also supportive. WLD’s four-hour relative strength index is hovering near 56, keeping the token in bullish territory without flashing extreme overbought conditions. That gives the market room to extend higher if buying volume expands on the breakout.
A failed breakout or a drop below the flag’s lower trendline would weaken the near-term structure. A close below the 50-4H EMA could delay the move toward $0.81 and expose WLD to a deeper pullback toward the 100-period EMA (purple) near $0.55.
Worldcoin Unlock Rate Cut Improves Supply Outlook
The bullish chart setup comes ahead of a major Worldcoin tokenomics milestone.
World says WLD’s aggregate daily unlock rate will fall 43% on July 24, 2026. The rate is expected to decline from about 5.1 million WLD per day to about 2.9 million WLD per day.
The biggest change will come from the World Community allocation, where the daily unlock rate will fall 50%, from about 3.2 million WLD per day to 1.6 million WLD per day.
Investor and team unlocks linked to Tools for Humanity will also decline, falling 32% from about 1.9 million WLD per day to about 1.3 million WLD per day.
WLD has historically traded under pressure from concerns about future dilution. A lower unlock rate does not remove existing supply from the market. But it slows the pace at which new unlocked tokens can enter circulation.
Lower future token flow often improves expectations around supply pressure, especially when the market is already showing signs of technical strength. That creates a potential pre-event rally setup, with traders positioning before the July supply-rate cut takes effect.
OpenAI IPO Narrative Adds Fuel to WLD Trade
WLD is also drawing speculative demand from renewed interest in AI-linked crypto assets after OpenAI submitted a confidential S-1 filing, reviving IPO speculation.
Worldcoin has no direct financial link to OpenAI. Still, traders often treat WLD as a liquid proxy for Sam Altman-linked AI exposure because Altman co-founded Tools for Humanity, the main contributor behind World.
That makes WLD sensitive to OpenAI headlines, even when they do not directly affect Worldcoin’s fundamentals.
