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XRP Price News: Bullish Weekly Signal Points to $5–$6 Rally

By
Alejandro Arrieche
Published: May 25, 2026, 16:25 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Social mentions of XRP have been rising since April, but trading volumes remain depressed.
  • A historical buy signal in the weekly chart remains in play and could anticipate a strong move to $5 - $6 over the next 12 months.
  • An interesting trading opportunity has emerged in the daily chart that could yield a 4x return.
xrp price news

XRP (XRP) just bounced off a key support area at $1.35 as the token’s social mentions have been steadily rising since the beginning of April.

Paired with the rest of the top-tier altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and BNB (BNB), XRP has been heavily battered by this year’s bear market, with an accumulated 26% loss.

Trading volumes are as thin as they can get at the time of writing. Sitting at just $1.4 billion, they account for just 1.7% of the asset’s circulating market cap.

This reflects heavily depressed levels of participation and interest from investors as the token has been in consolidation mode for months.

 

XRP ETF Inflows – Source: SoSoValue

However, a handful of buyers still seem to be seeing a bright future ahead for XRP, as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to this token have brought in positive inflows for 16 days in a row.

In total, investors have poured in $117 million into these vehicles during this period, reflecting some sort of ongoing accumulation. This favors a bullish outlook and could justify a retest of the token’s most relevant short-term resistance at $1.50.

Social Mentions Rise to Highest Levels Since August 2025

Meanwhile, according to data from Santiment, social mentions of XRP have been steadily rising since April. From May 13 to 19, weekly mentions rose to nearly 3,500. This is the highest that this metric has gone since August 2025, back when XRP traded $2.90.

XRP Social Mentions – Source: Santiment

The metric started to turn around on April 28 and has been steadily increasing since then. The 30-day moving average for social mentions rose from 245 to 358, meaning a 45% climb in just one month.

We are not seeing a similar trend in Google searches, but it is worth noting that Santiment tracks social mentions across multiple platforms and messaging boards. In addition, trading volumes, apart from today’s, remain depressed, indicating low organic buying despite XRP’s discounted price.

For market participants, XRP does not seem to be looking like a bargain right now, possibly as sentiment remains sour. The Fear and Greed Index just dropped to Fear territory once again shortly after hitting 62 (Greed), which means that volatility and skepticism still reign.

Meanwhile, looking at the futures market, we see a similar trend of disbelief and low participation. In this regard, XRP’s open interest (OI) has been relatively muted for the past few months in the midst of its ongoing consolidation.

The metric sits 74% below its all-time high of $10.8 billion, implying a lack of interest from traders to position themselves in any direction until there is further evidence of the market’s bias (bullish or bearish).

Weekly Chart Says Buy as RSI Crosses Above the Signal Line

We have also been tracking a buy signal in the weekly chart for XRP that has historically yielded exceptional returns. This signal features a 100% win ratio, as the price has never moved below the cycle bottom after it was spotted.

XRP/USD Weekly Chart – Source: TradingView

The signal is quite simple: the last three times the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 32 or lower, the price has rallied strongly over the next 6 to 12 months, producing gains ranging from 200% to 1,460%.

At some point after the oscillator hit that mark, XRP dropped near its cycle bottom, giving late buyers a second chance to profit from the signal. This is a high-probability setup in a high time frame (HFT), which makes it even more reliable.

We don’t expect four-digit gains this time if the signal delivers positive results. Meanwhile, we estimate that this cycle’s bottom was around $1.10 and $1.20. Hence, we do see the possibility that XRP rises to $5 and even $6 over the next 6 to 12 months.

This sounds far-fetched given the current geopolitical and macroeconomic landscapes, but crypto has often defied those narratives, especially at a point when adoption is rising fast.

We like that XRP has found support at the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), although that has not been a relevant marker in this higher time frame. Moreover, the RSI also crossed above the signal line, which also confirms that positive momentum is accelerating.

We expect a confirmed breakout above the $1.50 level to be more bullish toward XRP in the mid-term. Right now, the odds of a retest of $1.10 – $1.20 are still high, as that would not be inconsistent with past trends.

This Trade Could Yield a 4x Return if XRP Rallies to $1.65

Heading down to the daily chart, we can see that XRP has been in a tight consolidation pattern since mid-February, trading between $1.30 and $1.50. This is a typical sideways consolidation pattern that could resolve in any direction.

XRP/USDT Daily Chart – Source: TradingView

That said, we have a guiding signal in the weekly chart, the one we discussed above, which makes us lean toward a bullish outlook. That would be confirmed if that $1.50 ceiling is broken.

For now, the price is bouncing off $1.30 once again, confirming the technical relevance of this demand zone. We could still break below it, and that would result in a big downside risk of 13%, as the price action will likely retest the cycle’s bottom.

On the other hand, if this turns out to be a solid bounce, there’s a chance to profit from this sideways consolidation.

We could set a long position at the current price and aim for a break above $1.50 and toward $1.65 – the next resistance to watch for XRP. This target coincides with the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which would be a logical place to aim if this is a normal reversion to the mean move.

Bitcoin (BTC) already hit its 200-day EMA from below, and altcoins should follow. Setting the stop loss for this trade below the nearest lows, at around $1.27, that means a 3.5x risk-reward ratio.

About the Author

Alejandro Arrieche specializes in drafting news articles that incorporate technical analysis for traders and possesses in-depth knowledge of value investing and fundamental analysis.

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