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Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin and Ripple Daily Analysis – 12/05/18

By:
Bob Mason
Published: May 12, 2018, 06:13 UTC

The cryptomarket sell-off continues, with support levels failing to hold of sizeable losses, the trio starting the weekend on a sour note that points to more pain before any recovery sets in.

Crypto Exchanges1

Bitcoin Cash Bears Reign

Bitcoin Cash slumped 10.19% on Friday, following on from Thursday’s 6.94% slide, to end the day at $1,366.4.

A morning rise through to an intraday high $1,556 fell well short of the day’s first major resistance level at $1,626.8, with selling pressure at the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $1,550 taking its toll through the late morning, Bitcoin Cash sliding through to an intraday low and new swing lo $1,300.1. The slide took Bitcoin Cash through the day’s first major support level at $1,453.8 and second major support level at $1,393.4 with ease before psychological level support at $1,300 kicked in to stave off bigger losses.

The moves through the day reaffirmed the near-term bearish trend formation, with Bitcoin Cash closing at $1,300 levels for the first time since 2nd May.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin Cash was down 0.85% to $1,357, a start of the day move through to a morning high $1,426 left the day’s first major resistance level at $1,515.9 untested, while sellers came forward once more as Bitcoin Cash came within reach of the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $1,430 to pin Bitcoin Cash back early on, falling through to a morning low $1,331.

Failure to move back through to $1,400 levels early will likely see more material declines, support levels proving to be of little comfort for investors who continue to pull out in fear of another tumble back to sub-$1,000 levels.

We’ve yet to see the day’s first major support level at $1,259 be tested, but should sentiment not shift in the early part of the morning, sub-$1,300 levels are on the cards in the day.

A move through to $1,400 levels would support another run at the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $1,430, with sentiment across the broader market to dictate whether Bitcoin Cash can break out and take a run at the $1,500 levels.

It’s looking bearish for now and going in at current levels would need some tight stop losses to prevent exposure to another sell-off.

BCH/USD 12/05/18 Hourly Chart

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Litecoin back in the $130s

Litecoin tumbled 8.04% on Friday, adding on to Thursday’s 5.36% slide, to end the day at $136.5, Friday’s fall marking a 6th consecutive day of declines.

It was downhill all the way for Litecoin, falling through the day’s first major support level at $144.14 in the early morning before a slide through the day’s second major support level at $133.52 to an intraday low and new swing lo $133.52.

The day’s high $148.5 left key resistance levels untested through the day, the moves through to the new swing lo $133.52 affirming the bearish trend reversal formed at 5th May’s swing hi 182.35.

At the time of writing, Litecoin was down 0.96% to $135.2, with an early move through to a morning high $139.2 falling short of the day’s first major resistance level at $145.49 and 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $145.

Litecoin’s slide resumed through the early morning, falling to a morning low $133.63, with the bearish trend reflected across the broader market.

For the day ahead, a move back through to the morning’s $139.2 high would support a run at the day’s first major resistance level at $145.49, though for Litecoin to hold on to any gains and avoid selling pressure at the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $145, sentiment across the market will need to improve, Litecoin unlikely to be able to go it alone.

Failure to move back through to $139 levels would support a continued sell-off in what could be 7 out of 7 for Litecoin this week, Litecoin having already coughed up 20% by the end of Friday. The day’s first major support level at $130.51 is certainly in play today, with any pullback through to sub-$130 levels bringing sub-$100 levels into play, investors likely to jump ship should Litecoin give up more ground.

For the bolder investor, current levels are certainly attractive when looking at historical levels, but when factoring in the uncertainty over the regulatory outlook and classification of Litecoin, things could get worse before they improve.

LTC/USD 12/05/18 Hourly Chart

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Ripple sees threat turn reality and hits the $0.60s

Ripple’s XRP slid 10.14% on Friday, following Thursday’s 6% slide, to end the day at $0.67468, Ripple XRP’s first visit to $0.60 levels since 20th April.

Friday’s fall also marked a 6th consecutive day in the red, Ripple’s XRP joining the broader market in a mass sell-off that saw Ripple’s XRP form a bearish trend at 24th April’s swing hi $0.96837, with a failure to break through to a fresh swing hi in early May weighing more heavily on Ripple’s XRP.

Friday’s slide to an intraday low and new swing lo $0.64641 saw Ripple’s XRP slide through the day’s first major support level at $0.7258 and second major support level at $0.7051 before finding support at the third major support level at $0.6442.

The moves through Friday affirmed the bullish trend reversal that will likely continue to weigh on sentiment through the weekend and the early part of next week.

At the time of writing, Ripple’s XRP was down 3.87% to $0.6538, with an early move through to a morning high $0.69556 failing to break through to $0.70 levels to test selling pressure at the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $0.7224 and the day’s first major resistance level at $0.7389.

A mid-morning slide saw Ripple’s XRP fall through to a morning low $0.65195, Friday’s sell-off resuming as investors continue to pull out, the early moves providing little evidence of a bearish trend reversal.

For the day ahead, a move through to $0.70 levels would provide some confidence, with buying appetite likely to build on any break out from the 23.6% FIB Retracement Level of $0.7224, though the negative market sentiment will likely continue to pin back Ripple’s XRP through the remainder of the morning, bringing the day’s first major support level at $0.6284 into play.

We would expect Ripple’s XRP to avoid sub-$0.60 levels today, with some support likely to kick in at $0.60, though caution would be needed at the $0.60 psychological support level, the market’s negative sentiment capable of pulling Ripple’s XRP back through to test the second major support level at $0.5822.

It’s been a bad week and it’s unlikely to get much better, as       Ripple’s XRP sees its April gains unravel.

XRP/USD 12/05/18 4-Hourly Chart

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About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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