The Bitcoin market continues to see a lot of volatility, as the markets are trying to sort out what the Federal Reserve is going to do, and ultimately, where the risk appetite is going.
The Bitcoin market rallied just a bit during the trading session on Friday, but you can see that the candlestick from Thursday was pretty horrific. So, with that being said, I think you have to understand that it’s going to take a lot to get rid of that damage. That’s not to say the Bitcoin can’t do it. Obviously, it can, but that was a horrible turnaround during the Thursday session.
If we break below the bottom of the Thursday candlestick, somewhere right around $117,300, we could see Bitcoin fall to test the 50-day EMA. I’m not suggesting that Bitcoin is going to enter a downtrend or that Bitcoin is going to sell off quite drastically, but I am suggesting that a lot of damage was done on Thursday. And this tells me that we may not be ready to just take off to the upside.
A lot of this will come down to your timeframe. Obviously, if you’re a longer term holder, none of this really bothers you. You’ve seen much bigger shots across the bow, but if you are more of a shorter term type of trading person who goes in and out of the market, this is a time of caution. You should also keep in mind that this time of year is typically very thin for most assets on Wall Street and Bitcoin is a Wall Street asset. It’s an institutional asset now, so it follows all the same rules as indices and things like that. So we have seen some really weird moves in the indices and we’ve seen some really weird moves in Bitcoin where it suddenly sells off and then turns right back around. It’s a lack of volume, so be cautious.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.