Traders are paying close attention to the Bitcoin market, and whether or not it can recover to make decisions here.
The Coinbase market looks like it’s going to be just a touch positive opening up on Tuesday, building on that big gain from Monday, which of course was driven by the recovery in bitcoin. As it is a proxy for crypto trading, it makes a certain amount of sense that we would continue to see bullish pressure in this type of environment, but we do have a lot of overhead resistance near the $280 level. If the market can break above there, then it opens up the possibility of going to $300, and really, in this environment, I think it’s going to be dictated mainly by how bitcoin behaves. There does seem to be a floor right around $225.
Strategy or MicroStrategy continues to look miserable despite the fact that it might open slightly positive on Tuesday. This is a market that has just been brutal to watch. Most of this probably comes down to the fact that it’s basically a play on bitcoin which, of course, has been pretty miserable. But the entire business is to accumulate bitcoin at this point. So, I think traders are starting to look at this as a bit of a joke, a meme stock if you will, in the sense that if you want bitcoin, just buy bitcoin. Why buy MicroStrategy? So, I think that’s a problem they’re going to have for a while, and this looks completely broken to me. Any bounce here, more likely than not, offers some type of selling opportunity.
Finally, Circle looks like it is going to open a little bit higher, but it has to contend with the 50-day EMA at $93. If it can break above there, then it can rise perhaps all the way back to the $145 region. That would, of course, be a longer-term move, and Circle’s been absolutely obliterated right along with anything else crypto-related.
Its IPO price really isn’t too far below where we are, relatively speaking, considering that it opened at basically $69 and shot straight up in the air to almost hit $300, and here we are at $84.80. Pretty ugly scene here, but this isn’t actually that uncommon for IPOs. A lot of times, they’ll take off, they’ll collapse, and then they’ll eventually find their footing. So maybe a longer-term play, we’ll just have to wait and see, but this is another stock that I’d be very cautious with.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.