Crude oil markets were slightly negative on Friday, and look likely to roll over a bit. I don’t think this is a meltdown, but it’s likely that we will continue to see a lot of volatility in the petroleum markets.
The WTI Crude Oil market fell during the session on Friday, but found a bit of support at the $63 level. That’s not a huge surprise, as you read yesterday I thought that could be an area where the buyers might make a bit of the stand. If we can break down below the lows of the Friday session though, I think the market goes down to the $62 level. Otherwise we could bounce from there and reach towards the $64.25 level. I think we are bit overextended, so it makes sense that we may need to pull back looking for buying opportunities.
Brent markets gapped at the open to the downside, clearing an uptrend line, falling significantly, reaching towards the uptrend line again, and then falling again. I think that we will probably break down towards the $60 level, and if we can break down below there, the market should then go down to the $67 level. Ultimately, I think that the market will continue to see volatility, but if we can break above the $69 level, that would be a very bullish sign reaching towards the $70 level. Ultimately, I think if we break down below the $60 level, then the market goes looking towards the $67.50 level next. I think there is going to be a lot of noise in these markets, mainly due to the US dollar bouncing around significantly and of course headline suggesting that perhaps the Russians will leave the OPEC production cut agreement.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.