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Elliott Wave Outlook for GOLD and USD/JPY

Enda Glynn
Gold Elliot Wave

GOLD

My Bias: Long towards 1550
Wave Structure: ZigZag correction to the upside.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (B) at 1550
Important risk events: USD: CB Consumer Confidence. 

Gold has spent the days to hover around the resistance/support level at 1254.63.
Today’s high reached 1258.75 which is a solid break of resistance and adds weight to the bullish case from here.
It is likely that wave ‘i’ brown is complete. The next move to expect is a three wave selloff in wave ‘ii brown,

The 50% retracement level lies at 1231.79, and the 61.8% retracement level lies at 1225.46. This is also the high of wave ‘1’ pink which adds further support.

1225 has acted as a point of oscillation for the price over the last 6 months.
This level should act as major support as wave [iii] green develops in the coming weeks.

Gold 30M Chart

Gold Daily Chart
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USD/JPY

My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: CB Consumer Confidence. 

USDJPY rose off a new overnight low today.
There is now a clear five wave pattern in wave ‘c’ pink, this should complete the decline according to this wave count.

The action to look for now is five wave rally with a corrective decline to kick off wave (iii) green.

The price has now reached the 62% retracement level and the previous wave ‘ii’ brown. After solid two weeks of selling, it is time to see a reversal higher.

For tomorrow:
Watching this evenings rally to see if it develops into a five wave form to the upside.

USD/JPY 1H Chart
USD/JPY 4H Chart
USD/JPY Daily Chart

This post was originally published by Bullwaves

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