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EUR/USD Price Forecast – Euro bounces during early Tuesday session

By
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Nov 13, 2018, 18:47 GMT+00:00

The Euro bounced a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, as it looks like the market is trying to retest the 1.13 handle above. At this point, I’m looking for some signs of exhaustion to start selling, because breaking below the 1.13 level was very crucial.

EUR/USD daily chart, November 14, 2018

The Euro rallied a bit during the trading session on Tuesday, bouncing towards the 1.3 level which of course had been major support. That’s an area that should be resistance going forward, and even if we break above there I think there is high likelihood that we will see a lot of resistance extending all the way to the 1.15 handle. At this point, I think that the market will continue to focus on the interest rates going higher in the United States and of course the Italian debt situation. Beyond that, European economic numbers have gotten worse as of late, and it’s likely that will continue to be the trend.

EUR/USD Forecast Video 14.11.18

At this point, I think it’s a matter of simply sitting around and waiting for signs of exhaustion that you can take advantage of. Once you get that sign, perhaps on the short-term charts, you can start selling again as I think the major support underneath is probably found closer to the 1.11 handle which is a major turnaround spot on the weekly chart. We are in a downtrend and the 1.13 level was crucial to hold. Since it didn’t, this marks a new leg to the downside.

In fact, it’s not until we break above the 1.15 level that I would be convinced that we are trying to turn things around. That could send the market towards 1.18 level but obviously we would need to see some type of major difference in the economic outlook.

About the Author

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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