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EUR/USD Price Forecast – Euro Continues To Fall Drastically

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Feb 13, 2020, 16:51 UTC

The Euro initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday but fell apart again as the European simply can’t get it together. Bond markets continue to favor the US, and that puts even more downward pressure on this market.

EUR/USD Price Forecast - Euro Continues To Fall Drastically

The Euro has initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday but fallen apart again as we are pressing the 1.0850 level as I look at this chart. This is a horrific looking chart, and at this point it’s likely that the market is going to go looking towards the gap underneath at the 1.0750 level. At this point, with negative yielding bonds in the EU and the ECB jumping in and doing more of the same buying, the reality is that a lot of foreigners are throwing money in the US treasury markets, as we have positive yields there. Furthermore, the stock market continues to attract a lot of inflow from overseas so by necessity, this pair continues to fall.

EURUSD analysis Video 14.02.20

Breaking down below the 1.0 level was in fact a very negative sign, as it not only broke to a fresh, new low but it also broke the back of a hammer which of course is a very negative sign as well. Furthermore, I believe that rallies will continue to be sold into and the 1.09 level should offer plenty of resistance. Granted, we are a bit oversold at this point but that’s how this pair moves. It simply does nothing forever, and then falls apart for a couple of weeks. Then a grind sideways for three or four months, and then shoot straight up for three weeks. That’s just the nature of the pair as it is visited by so many high-frequency traders. Looking at this chart, the only thing you can do is sell rallies in the short term.

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About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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