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EUR/USD Price Forecast – Euro rallies after soft CPI

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Oct 12, 2018, 03:31 UTC

The Euro rallied after the soft CPI figures in the United States but has started to already give back much of the gains. The 1.16 level seems to be a bit difficult to overcome, so a pullback looks very likely at this point. However, this could continue to be a buying opportunity.

EUR/USD daily chart, October 12, 2018

The Euro initially tried to rally during the early session in America as the CPI figures were very soft, but you can see that the market has given back quite a bit of the gains. If that’s going to continue to be the case, we could fall back towards the 1.1550 level, possibly even the 1.15 level as they both should be somewhat supportive. I believe that the pullback will end up being a buying opportunity, but I would be very cautious and take my time. Let the markets find stability and/or support before putting money to work. I don’t know that I would short here, because there is so much in the way of demand underneath, especially near the 1.1465 handle.

That being the case, the market may simply be taking a bit of a breather, and that should be an opportunity for those who are patient enough to wait for that trade set up. The alternate scenario of course is that we bust through the 1.16 level, and that would be a sign of continuation to the upside. As I record this, we are trying to form a four hour shooting star, so at this point it looks like exhausted is starting to come back into the market, at least for the short term. Remember, the EU is still dealing with the Brexit, so there is always going to be a bit of a headline risk out there for the Euro.

EURUSD analysis Video 12.10.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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