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GBP/JPY Price Forecast – British Pound Struggling With 135 Level

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Apr 17, 2020, 14:05 GMT+00:00

The British pound has gone back and forth during the trading session on Friday as we continue to see a lot of volatility in this market. To me, it looks as if the British pound is running out of a bit of steam here, and as we head into the weekend it’s difficult to imagine a scenario where people are going to be buying the British pound to take on risk.

USD/JPY

The British pound initially tried to rally during the trading session on Friday but found the ¥135 level to be a bit too expensive. This isn’t a huge surprise, considering that the ¥135 level will be a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and of course we have the 50 day EMA above that is sloping lower. Ultimately, I think that rallies are sold into, and it’s likely that the Japanese yen will continue to offer a bit of safety in a significantly negative environment. Furthermore, the British pound is going to suffer due to the fact that the United Kingdom will remain locked down for quite some time.

GBP/JPY Video 20.04.20

At this point, it looks as if the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is likely to continue to see a lot of selling pressure as well, so I think that this market is very likely to go looking towards the ¥132.50 level again. The alternate scenario of course is that the market could break above the 50 day EMA, and then could go to the ¥137 level which is where the 61.8% Fibonacci currently resides, as well as a major gap that will cause some resistance. All things being equal though, this certainly looks like a market that is running out of momentum, which of course is the most dangerous thing for any type of uptrend.

About the Author

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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