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GBP/JPY Price Forecast – British Pound Struggling With 135 Level

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Apr 17, 2020, 14:05 UTC

The British pound has gone back and forth during the trading session on Friday as we continue to see a lot of volatility in this market. To me, it looks as if the British pound is running out of a bit of steam here, and as we head into the weekend it’s difficult to imagine a scenario where people are going to be buying the British pound to take on risk.

USD/JPY

The British pound initially tried to rally during the trading session on Friday but found the ¥135 level to be a bit too expensive. This isn’t a huge surprise, considering that the ¥135 level will be a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and of course we have the 50 day EMA above that is sloping lower. Ultimately, I think that rallies are sold into, and it’s likely that the Japanese yen will continue to offer a bit of safety in a significantly negative environment. Furthermore, the British pound is going to suffer due to the fact that the United Kingdom will remain locked down for quite some time.

GBP/JPY Video 20.04.20

At this point, it looks as if the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is likely to continue to see a lot of selling pressure as well, so I think that this market is very likely to go looking towards the ¥132.50 level again. The alternate scenario of course is that the market could break above the 50 day EMA, and then could go to the ¥137 level which is where the 61.8% Fibonacci currently resides, as well as a major gap that will cause some resistance. All things being equal though, this certainly looks like a market that is running out of momentum, which of course is the most dangerous thing for any type of uptrend.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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