GBP/USD Daily Price Forecast – British Pound Maintains For Fourth Consecutive Session against US Greenback

The Sterling has coiled into a tight consolidation range through Friday’s early Asian action as the pair winds into the end-week’s European markets.
Colin First

The GBP/USD pair looks set to extend the three-day winning streak on Brexit optimism, but a break above the 200-day MA may remain elusive if the equities regain poise and put a bid under the US dollar. The recent Brexit optimism continued underpinning the British Pound on Thursday’s market hours, pushing the GBP/USD pair higher for the fifth trading session in the previous session. This coupled with some heavy US Dollar selling, weighed down by a combination of negative forces, lifted the pair to three-week tops, around mid-1.3200’s. Against the backdrop of a rout in global equity markets, retracing US Treasury bond yields kept the USD bulls on the back-foot through the European trading session and the selling pressure aggravated following the release of softer-than-expected US consumer inflation figures resulting in a weaker USD in broad market which helped British Pound maintain upper hand across yesterday’s market hours.

Disappointing US Macro Data Helped Sterling Bulls Make Headway

As of writing this article, the GBPUSD pair is trading at 1.3234 up by 0.17% on the day. US President Donald Trump’s criticism over the pace of Fed rate hikes, saying that the Fed is too aggressive and that they are making a big mistake, exerted some additional downward pressure on the greenback as well. The pair now seems to have entered a bullish consolidation phase and in absence of any major market moving economic releases from the UK, the pair remains at the mercy of any fresh Brexit-related news/developments. Disappointing US macro data was another key factor which helped GBP gain momentum during overnight trading session. Later during the early North-American session, the US economic docket, featuring the release of Preliminary UOM Consumer Sentiment, will now be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities.

From a technical perspective, the pair retains its near-term bullish bias. With short-term technical indicators on the daily chart holding in bullish territory, the positive momentum seems more likely to get extended beyond the 1.3270-75 intermediate resistance towards testing the 1.3300 handle, marking 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the 1.4377-1.2662 downfall. On the flip side, the 1.3200 handle, closely followed by the 1.3180 region now seems to protect the immediate downside. Any subsequent fall below the mentioned supports might now be seen as an opportunity to initiate fresh long positions and thus, limit the further downside near 100-day SMA support, currently near the 1.3100 handle.


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