The early price action suggests the direction of the market will be determined by trader reaction to the minor Fibonacci level at $1842.90.
Gold futures are trading flat on Thursday as weaker than expected U.S. consumer inflation data dampened the bullion’s appeal as a hedge against inflation. However, the market remains underpinned by expectations for a softer U.S. Dollar and lower Treasury yields. Dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell also provided some support.
At 12:47 GMT, April Comex gold futures are trading $1842.50, down $0.20 or -0.01%.
In economic news, U.S. consumer prices rose moderately in January as higher gasoline prices were blunted by a slump in airline fares amid a relentless pandemic, tempering expectations for a sustained acceleration in inflation this year.
In other news, U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday called for a broad national effort to get Americans back to work after the pandemic.
The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. A trade through $1878.90 will change the main trend to up. A move through $1784.60 will signal a resumption of the downtrend.
The first minor range is $1878.90 to $1784.60. The market is currently straddling its retracement zone at $1831.80 to $1842.90.
The second minor range is $1784.60 to $1856.60. Its retracement zone at $1820.60 to $1812.10 is a second support zone.
The short-term range is $1966.80 to $1784.60. Its 50% to 61.8% retracement zone at $1875.70 to $1897.20 is resistance. The upper or Fibonacci level at $1897.20 is also a potential trigger point for an acceleration to the upside.
The major support is a long-term retracement zone at $1787.30 to $1711.70. Its zone stopped the selling at $1784.60 on February 4 and at $1771.30 on November 30.
The early price action on Thursday suggests the direction of the market will be determined by trader reaction to the minor Fibonacci level at $1842.90.
A sustained move over $1842.90 will indicate the presence of buyers. The first upside target is yesterday’s high at $1856.60, followed by a short-term 50% level at $1875.70 and a main top at $1878.90.
A sustained move under $1842.90 will signal the presence of sellers. This could lead to a labored break with potential downside targets lined up at $1831.80, $1820.60 and $1812.10.
The Fibonacci level at $1812.10 is a potential trigger point for an acceleration into a potential support cluster at $1787.30 to $1784.60.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.