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Metals Pack Weekly Fundamental Analysis, October 27-31, 2014, Forecast – Silver & Copper

By:
Barry Norman
Updated: Aug 25, 2015, 03:00 GMT+00:00

Weekly Analysis and Recommendations: Silver ended the week at 17.197 close to its lowest this month taking cues from gold. Copper was flat on Friday but

Metals Pack Weekly Fundamental Analysis, October 27-31, 2014, Forecast – Silver & Copper

Metals Pack Weekly Fundamental Analysis, October 27-31, 2014, Forecast - Silver & Copper
Metals Pack Weekly Fundamental Analysis, October 27-31, 2014, Forecast - Silver & Copper
Weekly Analysis and Recommendations:

Silver ended the week at 17.197 close to its lowest this month taking cues from gold. Copper was flat on Friday but recovered from the weeks low at the 2.99 range to end at 3.039 on relief over Chinese data. Strong global economic data on Thursday calmed investor nerves after a recent sell-off, prompting many to pull out of precious metals and other assets perceived as safe.

The next main market focus will be on the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday. The consensus view is that the US central bank will decide to wrap up asset purchases under its third round of quantitative easing. Markets will be looking for any clues on the timing of its first interest rate increase.  Precious metals has benefited in the years after the 2008 financial crisis from low interest rates and increased central bank liquidity.

 Copper, aluminium and other base metals lost ground on Friday after Chinese house prices fell for a fifth straight month, highlighting concerns about economic growth in the world’s biggest metals consumer.

The fall in Chinese home prices in September wiped out gains scored in the past year, raising expectations the government will have to implement more economic support measures to cushion the blow.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.

Historical: From 2011 to present

Highest: 44.188 on Aug 22, 2011

Average: 31.108 over this period

Lowest: 16.47 in September 2014

Copper(60 minutes)20141025180622
 
Silver(60 minutes)20141025180611

Major Economic Events for the week of October 27-31st

Time

Cur.

Imp.

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Monday, October 27

 

 

Holiday

New Zealand – Labour Day

 

  EUR

 

German Ifo Business Climate Index (Oct)

 

104.3

104.7

 

 

  USD

 

Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Sep)

 

0.5%

-1.0%

 

Tuesday, October 28

 

  USD

 

Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep)

 

0.5%

0.4%

 

 

  USD

 

CB Consumer Confidence (Oct)

 

87.0

86.0

 

Wednesday, October 29

 

  NZD

 

Interest Rate Decision 

 

3.50%

3.50%

 

Thursday, October 30

 

  EUR

 

German Unemployment Change (Oct)

 

5K

13K

 

 

  USD

 

GDP (QoQ) (Q3)

 

3.0%

4.6%

 

Friday, October 31

 

  EUR

 

CPI (YoY) (Oct)

 

0.4%

0.3%

 

 

  CAD

 

GDP (MoM) (Aug)

 

 

 

 

 

Upcoming Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country 

Oct 27 12:30 Germany Eur 2.0bn new 12M Bubill (Oct 2015) auction

Oct 27 18:30 Italy Announces details of BTP/CCTeu auctions on Oct 30

Oct 27 12:10 Italy BTPei/CTZ auctions

Oct 28 12:10 Italy BOT auction

Oct 28 19:00 US 2Y Note auction

Oct 29 12:03 Sweden Bond auction

Oct 29 12:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Aug 2024 Bund auction

Oct 29 17:30 US 2Y FRN auction

Oct 29 19:00 US 5Y Note auction

Oct 30 12:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auctions

Oct 30 19:00 US 7Y Note auction

 

 

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