Weekly Analysis and Recommendations: Silver ended the week at 17.197 close to its lowest this month taking cues from gold. Copper was flat on Friday but
Silver ended the week at 17.197 close to its lowest this month taking cues from gold. Copper was flat on Friday but recovered from the weeks low at the 2.99 range to end at 3.039 on relief over Chinese data. Strong global economic data on Thursday calmed investor nerves after a recent sell-off, prompting many to pull out of precious metals and other assets perceived as safe.
The next main market focus will be on the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday. The consensus view is that the US central bank will decide to wrap up asset purchases under its third round of quantitative easing. Markets will be looking for any clues on the timing of its first interest rate increase. Precious metals has benefited in the years after the 2008 financial crisis from low interest rates and increased central bank liquidity.
Copper, aluminium and other base metals lost ground on Friday after Chinese house prices fell for a fifth straight month, highlighting concerns about economic growth in the world’s biggest metals consumer.
The fall in Chinese home prices in September wiped out gains scored in the past year, raising expectations the government will have to implement more economic support measures to cushion the blow.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more recent analysis and information in our weekly reports and we provide daily updates and outlooks.
Historical: From 2011 to present
Highest: 44.188 on Aug 22, 2011
Average: 31.108 over this period
Lowest: 16.47 in September 2014
Major Economic Events for the week of October 27-31st
Time |
Cur. |
Imp. |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Monday, October 27 |
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|
Holiday |
New Zealand – Labour Day |
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|
EUR |
German Ifo Business Climate Index (Oct) |
|
104.3 |
104.7 |
|
|
|
USD |
Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Sep) |
|
0.5% |
-1.0% |
|
|
Tuesday, October 28 |
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|
USD |
Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Sep) |
|
0.5% |
0.4% |
|
|
|
USD |
CB Consumer Confidence (Oct) |
|
87.0 |
86.0 |
|
|
Wednesday, October 29 |
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NZD |
Interest Rate Decision |
|
3.50% |
3.50% |
|
||
Thursday, October 30 |
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|
EUR |
German Unemployment Change (Oct) |
|
5K |
13K |
|
|
|
USD |
GDP (QoQ) (Q3) |
|
3.0% |
4.6% |
|
|
Friday, October 31 |
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|
EUR |
CPI (YoY) (Oct) |
|
0.4% |
0.3% |
|
|
|
CAD |
GDP (MoM) (Aug) |
|
|
|
Upcoming Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Oct 27 12:30 Germany Eur 2.0bn new 12M Bubill (Oct 2015) auction
Oct 27 18:30 Italy Announces details of BTP/CCTeu auctions on Oct 30
Oct 27 12:10 Italy BTPei/CTZ auctions
Oct 28 12:10 Italy BOT auction
Oct 28 19:00 US 2Y Note auction
Oct 29 12:03 Sweden Bond auction
Oct 29 12:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn Aug 2024 Bund auction
Oct 29 17:30 US 2Y FRN auction
Oct 29 19:00 US 5Y Note auction
Oct 30 12:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auctions
Oct 30 19:00 US 7Y Note auction