Nasdaq Index, Dow Jones, S&P 500 News: Upside Bias Continues Despite Fed’s Caution

James Hyerczyk
Updated: Jun 13, 2024, 13:57 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • S&P 500 futures advanced Thursday after the index closed above 5,400, supported by positive market sentiment.
  • Wall Street celebrated with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hitting record highs, though the Dow slightly declined.
  • Investors are optimistic with the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates and easing inflation reflected in the May CPI report.
  • Broadcom shares soar 14% on strong earnings; Tesla climbs 5% with shareholder pay package approval.
  • Federal Reserve signals fewer rate cuts in 2024.
Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, Dow Jones

In this article:

S&P 500 Futures Rise on Positive Market Sentiment

S&P 500 futures advanced on Thursday after the broad market index closed above 5,400 for the first time. This movement followed the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision and a cooler-than-expected May consumer inflation report.

At 10:49 GMT, Dow futures are trading 38616.00, down 136.00 or -0.35%. S&P 500 Index futures are at 5430.25, up 2.75 or +0.05% and Nasdaq futures are trading 19606.50, up 110.00 or +0.56%.

Market Overview

Wall Street celebrated strong performances with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite reaching all-time highs. The S&P 500 increased by 0.85%, while the Nasdaq surged 1.53%. Conversely, the Dow Jones Industrial Average slightly declined by 0.09%.

Pre-Market Movers

In the premarket, Broadcom’s shares surged by 14% after surpassing fiscal second-quarter expectations and announcing a 10-for-1 stock split. Conversely, Dave & Buster’s Entertainment shares fell 10% following disappointing first-quarter revenue figures.

Tesla saw a 5% increase in premarket trading after CEO Elon Musk announced that shareholders were on track to approve his $56 billion pay package and the company’s re-incorporation from Delaware to Texas. Musk did not provide specific voting details, only indicating a wide margin of approval.

Corporate Earnings Highlights

Oxford Industries’ stock dipped 2.9% after posting first-quarter earnings and revenue below estimates. The company reported adjusted earnings of $2.66 per share on $398.2 million in revenue, missing analyst expectations.

Virgin Galactic shares plummeted 16% after its board approved a 1-for-20 reverse stock split, affecting investor sentiment.

Early Catalysts: CPI and Fed Policy

Investor optimism was fueled by the Federal Reserve’s acknowledgment of “modest further progress” towards its 2% inflation target, maintaining the current interest rates. The Fed now projects only one rate cut in 2024, a decrease from the three cuts forecasted in March. The May consumer price index report, indicating easing inflation, contributed to this positive outlook.

Following the CPI report, Treasury yields dropped, with the 10-year note reaching its lowest level since April 1. The Federal Reserve’s decision to keep policy unchanged, while hinting at potential rate cuts this year, was well-received by the market. The central bank’s dot plot showed mixed expectations, with some officials predicting no cuts, others one cut, and a few forecasting two cuts in 2024.

Economic Reports on Tap

Investors await the May producer price index report, expected to show a 0.1% rise, down from 0.5% in April. This report will provide further insights into inflation trends and potential impacts on market expectations.

Market Forecast

Given the Federal Reserve’s more cautious stance and the encouraging inflation data, the S&P 500 futures indicate a positive short-term outlook. The surge in Broadcom shares and the rise in Tesla stock are likely to have a significant impact on today’s markets, bolstering investor sentiment.

Broadcom’s strong performance and stock split announcement, coupled with Tesla’s shareholder approval of Elon Musk’s pay package, provide strong catalysts for a bullish trend. Investors are likely to remain optimistic, supported by these corporate earnings and positive economic indicators.

However, traders should remain vigilant, as the Fed’s reduced projection for rate cuts reflects a more measured approach to monetary policy, which could introduce some market volatility. Monitoring upcoming economic reports will be crucial for additional guidance on market trends.

Technical Analysis

Daily E-mini Nasdaq-100 Index

E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures hit another record high on Thursday. There is no resistance. This rally is being fueled by strong upside momentum.

The nearest support is the 50-day moving average at 18604.00.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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